Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 855.775919 974.628833 1110.122600 1277.343453 1480.008954 1720.071289 2.029563e+03
2024-10-27 662.972771 806.673820 986.201513 1231.624021 1566.009175 2017.617403 2.695745e+03
2024-11-03 594.136735 753.893279 965.671955 1275.890335 1735.084508 2419.130103 3.579310e+03
2024-11-10 539.437894 707.461055 941.002378 1303.129021 1878.453739 2813.729845 4.593029e+03
2024-11-17 497.741998 670.898671 921.342876 1329.191885 2019.195203 3235.152963 5.822297e+03
2024-11-24 452.946299 623.418246 877.664175 1308.010360 2074.041789 3518.249828 6.908572e+03
2024-12-01 425.259427 597.525831 862.430424 1328.757215 2203.896306 3977.818505 8.630359e+03
2024-12-08 404.985911 580.316616 857.958962 1365.795063 2370.586197 4565.866638 1.106415e+04
2024-12-15 381.804755 555.953805 838.477986 1372.115671 2476.942050 5056.455657 1.360659e+04
2024-12-22 356.359740 525.510557 805.244424 1347.444397 2512.506241 5389.134441 1.592813e+04
2024-12-29 341.202741 510.516911 796.796031 1368.716455 2653.300601 6050.109739 2.021349e+04
2025-01-05 318.705796 481.380973 760.452040 1329.244660 2645.474588 6294.825984 2.301271e+04
2025-01-12 298.918085 456.659347 732.059129 1307.286256 2688.638558 6756.571824 2.789328e+04
2025-01-19 277.402411 427.586495 693.444078 1259.672214 2660.733186 6998.032521 3.215792e+04
2025-01-26 269.844545 422.146578 698.057896 1305.404155 2887.763566 8241.212391 4.657305e+04
2025-02-02 260.782547 413.218210 694.971484 1333.468045 3076.119605 9483.103058 6.648750e+04
2025-02-09 252.328403 404.662289 691.632996 1360.352921 3270.544676 10913.725599 9.781531e+04
2025-02-16 239.677763 387.431776 669.299978 1338.505895 3310.279895 11683.579720 1.268088e+05
2025-02-23 232.222614 379.363401 664.829951 1359.903714 3497.072833 13372.850150 1.967414e+05
2025-03-02 226.780134 374.678161 666.860306 1398.111881 3755.575911 15768.653306 3.502299e+05
2025-03-09 218.998109 364.939891 657.278121 1404.633324 3905.631053 17714.389307 5.876980e+05
2025-03-16 209.216735 350.700373 636.826083 1379.179976 3929.662995 18857.319223 8.787249e+05
2025-03-23 203.781292 344.667260 633.771182 1401.126063 4148.352560 21820.629996 1.989232e+06